This study identified early clinical factors that predict disease progression in pregnant subjects infected with SARS-CoV2 who required admission to the hospital for therapeutic intervention. To date, several laboratory findings have been reported as being associated with worse outcomes in nonpregnant subjects infected with SARS-CoV2 [5–7]. However, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first report showing laboratory measurements associated with the need for therapeutic intervention in pregnant women.
Among the laboratory indices measured, high CRP level and high platelet number were significant factors associated with the need for medical intervention (Tables 2 and 3). This is consistent with previous reports in the general population [6, 7]. In particular, CRP level days 4–6 after onset had a high sensitivity and specificity for the selection of subjects who needed treatment intervention. Based on gestational age and blood test results, a triage flow for pregnant women during the large outbreaks may be generated if designated wards are not sufficient to admit all infected pregnant women.
In the pregnant women of this study, age was not associated with need for medical intervention (Table 1). This is likely because subjects in the reproductive age range are not old, and the small age range of the women in this study (20–44 years old) did not influence the outcome. On the other hand, regardless of the age of onset of COVID-19 infection, gestational week was associated with medical intervention, which is consistent with previous report showing that SARS-CoV2 severity increases with late pregnancy in Japan [8]. This pattern of more heavily pregnant women being more severely affected has also been observed in women infected with other respiratory viruses [9, 10]. Accordingly, the gestational week, but not the age of onset of infection, could be among the significant risk factors for severe COVID-19 in pregnant women. Regarding the symptoms experienced by pregnant women with COVID-19, those with a fever of 37.5℃ or higher on both days 0–3 and days 4–6 often required medical intervention (Fig. 1). The presence of fever may be an easy marker for selecting subjects who need or will need therapeutic intervention.
In this analysis, we considered three therapeutic interventions. We understand that the meaning of medical intervention, oxygen supplementation or systemic corticosteroids or supplemental liquids due to infection-related symptoms, might include a different aspect of the disease conditions; namely, oxygen supplementation and systemic corticosteroids means the severity of pneumonia, but supplemental liquids means worsening of general condition. Regarding the necessity for hospital admission and therapeutic intervention, each intervention has a significant impact on the management of pregnant women with COVID-19.
In contrast to low familial infection rate early in 2020 [12], as shown in Fig. 3, 57% of the patients in the fourth wave were infected by family members. It has been reported that almost all SARS-CoV2 infections in the fourth spike were caused by the N501Y mutant, which is more contagious than the previous serotype [2]. Considering the low vaccination rate in Japan compared with those of other developed countries in end of June 2021(https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations), caution is warranted, and another large outbreak could occur in the near future. Therefore, our study might help medical professionals prioritize pregnant women who should be hospitalized if there is a fifth wave of infections.
This study has several limitations. First, this is a retrospective study at a single center. Second, the number of participants in this study was small, although nearly all of the pregnant women positive for SARS-CoV2 who were diagnosed in Sapporo City during the third and fourth spikes were analyzed. Third, confounding factors that may affect the COVID-19 severity and related mortality, such as smoking or comorbidities, were not obtained for all subjects.