Socio-demographic and clinical characteristics
The median age of the participants was 41 (IQR, 29-58) years. More than half of the participants were males (60.6%). Four hundred thirteen (43.7%) had a history of one or more preexisting co-morbid illness. The majority had hypertension (26.9%) followed by Type II diabetes mellitus (TIIDM) (18.5%) and Asthma (5.5%). The most common reported symptoms were cough (52.9%), SOB (27.1%), fatigue (24.4%) and fever (21.8%).
One hundred fifteen (12.2%) had a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/ or NSAIDs use. At admission, the majority (39.6%) had mild disease and 272 (28.8%) had severe disease. Among the study participants, 900 (95.2%) were discharged improved and the rest 45 (4.8%) died. The median length of admission was 14.0 days (IQR, 13-16). (Table 1)
Comparison of socio-demographic and clinical characteristics based on drug use history
Based on the chi-square or Fischer’s exact test and independent t-test result, a significant difference between those who has a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use and those who don’t showed that the two groups showed a significant difference in age category, the presence of shortness of breath, disease severity, outcome and length of admission.
Accordingly, a significantly higher proportion of patients who has a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use history are in the age range of 50-59 years (27.0 % Vs 11.3%, p-value<0.0001) and 60 years and older (47.0 % Vs 20.4%, p-value<0.0001) compared to those with no drug use history.
A significantly higher proportion of patients with a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use has a shortness of breath at presentation compared to those with no drug use history (41.7% % Vs 25.1%, p-value<0.0001).
A significantly higher proportion of patients with a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use had severe COVID-19 disease at presentation compared to those with no drug use history (47.0% % Vs 26.3%, p-value<0.0001). Similarly, a significantly smaller proportion of patients with a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use had mild and moderate COVID-19 disease at presentation compared to those with no drug use history (26.1% % Vs 41.4%, p-value<0.0001 for mild disease and 27.0% Vs 32.3%, p-value<0.0001).
A significantly higher proportion of patients with a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use died of COVID-19 compared to those with no drug use history (9.6% % Vs 4.1%, p-value=0.010).
A statistically significant difference was observed in the length of admission where having a history of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use was associated with a delayed recovery compared to those with no drug use history (14.5 days Vs 14.4 days, p-value=0.002). But, this difference might not have a significant clinical implication. (Table 2)
Treatment model: Logistic regression of factors affecting use of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs
The treatment model using a binary logistic regression model was run by including variables that were significant on univariate analysis at 25% level of significance and also from variables selected to be useful based on literature review. Accordingly, age category, sex, cardiac illness, hypertension, TIIDM, asthma, fever, cough, sore throat, runny nose, chest pain, myalgia, arthralgia, fatigue, shortness of breath and headache were included in the final treatment model. By fitting the final treatment model, propensity score was estimated and it was used to compute the inverse probability weights for each individual. The inverse of the probability of exposure was then used to weight each individual in the estimation of the marginal odds ratio. (Table 3)
Table 3: Treatment model: Binary Logistic Regression model of factors affecting use of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs (n=945)
Variables
|
AOR
|
95% CI for AOR
|
p-value
|
Age category (in years)
|
|
|
|
< 30
|
1
|
1
|
|
30-39
|
2.07
|
0.58, 7.32
|
0.261
|
40-49
|
1.69
|
0.49, 5.73
|
0.398
|
50-59
|
3.82
|
1.14, 12.79
|
0.030*
|
≥ 60
|
1.89
|
0.57, 6.37
|
0.300
|
Male sex (Vs Female)
|
1.83
|
1.08, 3.11
|
0.025*
|
Cardiac illness
|
9.95
|
4.69, 21.09
|
<0.0001*
|
Hypertension
|
14.87
|
7.89, 28.01
|
<0.0001*
|
Type II Diabetes Mellitus
|
1.52
|
0.88, 2.64
|
0.137
|
Asthma
|
1.69
|
0.66, 4.32
|
0.278
|
Fever
|
0.69
|
0.33, 1.44
|
0.323
|
Cough
|
0.57
|
0.31, 1.04
|
0.065
|
Sorethroat
|
1.06
|
0.46, 2.43
|
0.895
|
Runny nose
|
1.40
|
0.47, 4.18
|
0.543
|
Chest pain
|
1.49
|
0.69, 3.25
|
0.313
|
Myalgia
|
1.31
|
0.53, 3.22
|
0.558
|
Arthralgia
|
0.62
|
0.23, 1.72
|
0.360
|
Fatigue
|
0.53
|
0.25, 1.12
|
0.095
|
Shortness of breath
|
1.67
|
0.87, 3.19
|
0.121
|
Headache
|
1.55
|
0.75, 3.24
|
0.239
|
Note: AOR, Adjusted Odds ratio; CI, Confidence interval; *statistically significant
Table 3: Treatment model: Binary Logistic Regression model of factors affecting use of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs (n=945)
Outcome Model: Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on disease severity, outcome and length of admission
Three outcome models; Multinomial Logistic Regression, Log Binomial Regression and Negative Binomial Regression models were fitted to assess the effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on disease severity, outcome and length of admission respectively. To predict all the three outcomes, the treatment variable alone was fitted as an explanatory variable after adjusting for inverse probability weights.
Accordingly, on the three outcome models, ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use didn’t show a statistically significant association with all the three outcomes at 5% level of significance. (Table 4, 5 and 6)
Table 4: Multinomial logistic regression of Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on disease severity (n=945)
Variable
|
Moderate (Vs Mild)
|
Severe (Vs Mild)
|
ARR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
ARR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs
|
|
|
|
|
No
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
Yes
|
0.76 (0.25, 2.31)
|
0.628
|
1,21 (0.45, 3.27)
|
0.708
|
Note: ARR, Adjusted Relative Risk; CI, Confidence interval; *statistically significant
Table 4: Multinomial logistic regression of Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on disease severity (n=945)
Table 5: Log binomial regression of Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on disease outcome (n=945)
Variable
|
ARR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs
|
|
|
No
|
1
|
|
Yes
|
1.14 (0.27, 4.82)
|
0.861
|
Note: ARR, Adjusted Relative Risk; CI, Confidence interval; *statistically significant
Table 5: Log binomial regression of Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on disease outcome (n=945)
Table 6: Negative binomial regression of Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on length of admission (n=945)
Variable
|
ARR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs
|
|
|
No
|
1
|
|
Yes
|
0.99 (0.88, 1.11)
|
0.842
|
Note: ARR, Adjusted Relative Risk; CI, Confidence interval; *statistically significant
Table 6: Negative binomial regression of Effect of ACEIs, ARBs and/or NSAIDs use on length of admission (n=945)