2.1 Materials and methods
2.1.1 Data collection
The risk of death and effect of temperature in the temperate monsoon climate and subtropical monsoon climate are increased(Chen et al., 2018; Liu et al., 2019). Therefore, the physical examination data of a general hospital in a large city in the temperate monsoon climate zone were analyzed. The city population is 7 to 8 million, and the hospital, including its emergency department, receives 1.6~ 1.9 million outpatient visits per annum, and the Physical Examination Center receives 40,000 to 60,000 visits per annum. Taking into account that the human immune system is fully mature after puberty (10~19 years old) (Swaminathan et al., 2014), healthy physical examinations of individuals who were 20 years old were selected as the research objects.
The blood indexes, including IgA, IgM, IgG, and IgE, of each sample in the hospital Physical Examination Center from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2019 were statistically analyzed. Immunoglobulin levels were determined by rate immune scatter turbidimetry.
We sent a written informed notice to each physical examination individual and obtained their consent before obtaining the samples. The samples were excluded when the subject declined to participate at any step throughout the process.
2.1.2 Statistical analysis
To facilitate the comparative analysis between indicators, in the following analysis, each index is dimensionless. In this method, the measured value of each index is compared with the lower limit of the normal range value of the index (i.e., the measured value/lower limit value).
To facilitate the comparative analysis between the indicators, each indicator is treated by dimensionless theory in the following analysis. In this method, the ratio of the measured value of each indicator is compared to the lower limit of the normal range of the indicator, namely, the measured value/lower value.
The contribution level of atmospheric temperature, temperature difference, age, and gender to each immunoglobulin was analyzed by the neural network module of SPSS 20, for which the processing method is as follows: 1) the temperature difference is defined as the difference between the atmospheric temperatures of two consecutive days, (i.e., the difference between the average atmospheric temperature of the day and that of the previous day); 2) temperature, temperature difference, and age were defined as continuous variables and gender as a categorical variable; 3) the immune indexes were divided into three grades including 0, 1, and 2, where 0, 1, and 2 represent lower than the normal range, within the normal range, and higher than the normal value, respectively; and 4) 70% of the samples were used for training, and the grouping variables were generated by calculating the variables. Then, 70% of the samples were used for training, and the grouping variables were generated by calculating the variables.
To study whether the influence of different atmospheric temperatures and temperature differences on immunoglobulins were statistically significant, the data were analyzed by independent sample tests (Kruskal-Wallis) with SPSS 20. Data processing was as follows: 1) the temperature corresponding to the effective samples was divided into 1 to 12 grades according to the epidemiological survey; 2) the temperature difference value was divided into different grades based on the difference in the daily average temperature on two adjacent days, (i.e., if there were n different temperature differences, the temperature difference grade was n); and 3) the air temperature, temperature difference, and the four kinds of immunoglobulins were tested as independent samples.
2.2 Results
2.2.1 Basic data
A total of 1147 valid samples were obtained, of which 68.4% were male. The age range of the participants ranged from 20 to 83 years (mean ± SD: 47 ± 11 years).
2.2.2 Immune index statistics
The results of the statistical analysis of immunoglobulins from the effective samples are shown in Table 1.
Table 1
Statistical analysis of immune indexes
Parameter
|
Max
|
Min
|
Median
|
Mean ± SD
|
IgA(g/L)
|
7.50
|
0.40
|
2.32
|
2.43 ± 0.93
|
IgG(g/L)
|
21.00
|
1.08
|
11.90
|
12.05 ± 2.32
|
IgM(g/L)
|
2.97
|
0.23
|
0.87
|
0.96 ± 0.46
|
IgE(IU/mL)
|
886
|
17.3
|
40.80
|
79.3 ± 95.12
|
Atmospheric
temperature (℃)
|
30.0
|
-6.0
|
14.5
|
14.0 ± 9.5
|
As shown in Table 1, the level of IgG was the highest among the four kinds of serum immunoglobulins, followed by IgA, IgM, and IgE. The median and mean values of all immune indexes were within the normal limits. Due to the the living habits and personal physical conditions, the standard deviation of each index was large, especially that of IgE related to upper respiratory tract infection, and the standard deviation exceeded the average value.
The maximum, minimum, and daily average temperature were 30°C, -6°C, and 14.0°C, respectively. Compared with the limit temperature (11°C) that the respiratory system can bear, the average temperature was 3°C higher, while the minimum atmospheric temperature was much lower than the limit, with a difference of 17°C. When humans stay outside in an atmospheric environment below 11°C (Carder et al., 2005) this is extremely harmful to human health, especially to patients with respiratory diseases.
2.2.3 Contribution of various factors to immunity
The contribution levels of atmospheric temperature, temperature difference, age, and gender to each immunoglobulin concentration are shown in Fig. 1.
Figure 1 shows that the factors affecting the level of immunoglobulins in the blood are not unique. In terms of temperature, temperature difference, age, and gender in this study, different factors have different effects on the levels of immunoglobulins. The contribution of atmospheric temperature and temperature differences on IgA, IgM, and IgE was significantly increased, and temperature difference had the greatest effect. More than 50% of the IgA and IgE concentration was caused by the temperature difference, especially the latter. The contribution level of each factor to the IgA concentration was consistent with that of IgM, and the order from high to low was temperature difference, atmospheric temperature, age, and gender. The difference is that the effect of gender on IgA was very small (only 0.006), while that of IgM was 0.115, with a difference of 0.109. The importance of the factors affecting IgE concentration were as follows: temperature difference, atmospheric temperature, gender, and age. The contribution of gender and age were almost the same, with only a 0.002 difference. For IgG, temperature had the least effect, while gender had the greatest effect, followed by temperature difference, but the difference between the two factors was small, with a value of 0.04. In general, there are differences in the influence of air temperature, temperature difference, gender, and age on immune indexes, but the first two factors contributed more to immunoglobulin concentrations than the latter factors.
2.2.4 Effects of atmospheric temperature and temperature differences on immune indexes of the respiratory system
As described in Sect. 3.2.3, IgA, IgM, and IgE were most affected by atmospheric temperature and temperature differences, while temperature differences and gender had the similar influences on IgG. To further determine whether the influence of atmospheric temperature and temperature differences on immunoglobulin concentrations was significant, a single factor analysis was conducted. The results are shown in Table 2.
Table 2 Significance analysis of atmospheric temperature and temperature differences on immunoglobulins
Parameters
|
Temperature
(℃)
|
Temperature difference
(℃)
|
IgA(g/L)
|
0.068
|
0.150
|
IgM(g/L)
|
0.011
|
0.007
|
IgG(g/L)
|
0.007
|
0.003
|
IgE(IU/mL)
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
As shown in Table 2, the atmospheric temperature and temperature difference had statistically significant effects on the concentrations of IgM, IgG, and IgE in human blood, but there was no significant difference on IgA concentration in each month. Temperature change caused obvious variations in IgM, IgG, and IgE concentrations in the next 2 days.
2.2.5 Effects of the month on immune indexes
Based on the findings in Sect. 3.2.4, we analyzed the seasonality of each immunoglobulin. The results are shown in Fig. 2.
As shown in Fig. 2, the atmospheric temperature increased first and then decreased by month, and reached a maximum in August. IgM and IgE concentrations showed an inverted "V" shape with the month, and their relationship exhibited a Gaussian distribution. IgA and IgG had no seasonal characteristics. As shown in Fig. 2 (a), the concentration change of IgE with climate was more obvious than that of IgM. However, in general, the trend in the concentration changes of IgM and IgE was basically consistent with the atmospheric temperature, especially from May to November. The difference was that the highest concentrations of IgM and IgE occurred in September, while the temperature was highest in August, which indicated that the effect of temperature on blood immunoglobulin has a lag.
It can be seen in Fig. 2 (b) that there was no significant change in IgA concentration by month. However, the concentration gradually increased with time from July to September, and the peak value occurred in September. The trend was consistent with that of IgM and IgE. From June to August, when the temperature gradually increased or even reached a maximum, the IgG concentration gradually decreased, but the highest value still occurred in September. The concentrations of IgA and IgG dropped sharply in October and returned to the previous levels in November and December. This change may be related to the temperature drop after National Day in October. When the human body adapts to a cold environment, the effect of temperature on IgA and IgG concentrations was no longer obvious.
Figure 2 (a) and (b) shows that the concentrations of the four immunoglobulins were also lower in January, November, and December, coinciding with lower temperatures. In addition, IgA, IgM and IgE concentrations were increased in February and April. The reason for these effects is that the climate is coldest in January and heating is stopped in April.
In summary, climate has different effects on the levels of different immunoglobulins in human blood, and the influence has a temporal lag. Maintaining a high ambient temperature is conducive to increasing the concentration of immunoglobulin in human blood, which can improve human immunity to some extent.
2.2.6 Effect of temperature difference on immune indexes
Temperature difference is an important and independent factor affecting human immunity(Cheng et al., 2014). We analyzed the relationship between the four immunoglobulins and temperature differences to explore the effect of temperature differences on IgM and IgE concentrations. The results are shown in Fig. 3.
It can be seen in Fig. 3 that IgM and IgE concentrations exhibit the inverted "U" relationship with temperature differences, while IgA and IgG concentrations show a "fish bone" relationship.
The concentrations of IgM and IgE peaked when Δ t = 0°C, while the maximum concentrations of IgA and IgG were at Δ t = 1.5°C and Δ t = 2°C, respectively.
We found that the temperature difference ranges corresponding to the four immunoglobulins were slightly different at higher concentrations, as shown in Fig. 3 (a), (b), (c), and (d). The range of temperature differences corresponding higher concentrations of IgE was the largest (7°C), which was [-3.5, 3.5°C]. Due to the concentrations of IgA, IgM, and IgG being very sensitive to the daily mean temperature difference during two consecutive days, the temperature difference range corresponding to the increased concentration was narrower, which was [-3, 2.5°C], [-3.5, 3°C], and [-2, 2.5°C], respectively.
Comprehensive analysis showed that an increase or decrease in environmental temperature reduced immunoglobulin concentrations in human serum and subsequently reduced human immunity. Long term exposure to a stable environment or cold and hot stimulation within a small temperature range is conducive to increasing human immunoglobulin concentrations, which can improve human immunity.
2.2.7 Effect of climate on mortality in the hospital and the entire city
Climate change impacts changes in mortality due to high or low temperatures (Arbuthnott et al., 2020; Ma et al., 2020; Vicedo-Cabrera et al., 2018). The respiratory tract is more susceptible to infection due to the invasion of cold air when people are in an environment that is less than 11°C, which results in frequent respiratory diseases. This phenomenon is more prominent during the cold period(Carder et al., 2005; Ma et al., 2011; Xie et al., 2013). We analyzed the changes in mortality in the hospital and the entire city over time during the investigation period to explore the relationship between air temperature and mortality. In view of the influence of atmospheric temperature on the respiratory tract, we defined the period when the atmospheric temperature was less than 11°C as the low temperature zone and focused on this period. The results are shown in Fig. 4.
As shown in Fig. 4, the relative mortality rate of the hospital and the whole city exhibits a "U" distribution with climate. From April to October, the air temperature was higher, the relative mortality rate of the hospital and the entire city was lower, and the trend was relatively mild. The relative mortality rate increased significantly and changed sharply in the low temperature period, especially in the coldest month (January), and the relative mortality rate of the hospitals and the whole city peaked. This result shows the effect of low temperature on mortality and is consistent with other research results(Braga et al., 2002; Guo et al., 2016; Guo et al., 2012; Ye et al., 2012). The analysis of the correlation between the atmospheric temperature and the relative mortality rate of the hospital and the entire city showed that atmospheric temperature was strongly correlated with the death toll at the hospital and the entire city (PH = 0.006, Spearman=-0.544**, PE = 0.000, Spearman=-0.743**).
Thus, maintaining a higher atmospheric temperature can improve the antibody level in human serum and reduce human mortality within a certain temperature range. An increase or decrease in temperature is not conducive to the secretion of antibodies.
2.2.8 Correlation analysis of immune indexes and mortality
Humoral immunity, as an important part of the immune system, can make the immune system hyperactive (upregulation) or immunosuppressed (downregulation), and then cause human diseases(Swaminathan et al., 2014). We analyzed the correlation between the concentration of immunoglobulin and the number of deaths in hospitals and the entire city at the monthly level to explore the relationship between human immune indexes and relative mortality. The results are shown in Fig. 5.
As shown in Fig. 5, there was no correlation between the death tolls of the two investigation sites with IgA, IgM, or IgG, while IgE related to respiratory system immunity was significantly negatively correlated (hospital: P = 0.014; City: P = 0.048). This result indicates that the concentrations of IgA, IgM, and IgG affect human health, but these levels are not directly related to deaths in response to climatic conditions. The IgE level related to the immunity of the respiratory system can be used as a biological parameter to predict death.