3.1 Search results
The search strategy identified 1619 articles. Among these studies, 890 were duplicates. After screening the title and abstract, 1556 were excluded, and the full text of the remaining 63 articles was reviewed. Among these, 18 studies reported ICI use in cancer patients and prognosis of COVID-19 infection (5, 13-29). The 18 articles consisted of 9 cohort studies, 5 case series and 4 case reports. These 18 studies were included for review. Finally, 8 of these studies were eligible for the meta-analysis, excluding studies containing less than four ICI patients.
3.2 Patient characteristics
Patient characteristics of the included studies are shown in Table 1. The studies were from eight countries, including Belgium (n=1), China (n=2), Germany (n=2), Italy (n=6), Spain (n=2), the United Kingdom (n=3), the United States (n=5), and Turkey (n=1). Eight of these studies included more than three ICI users, and the median age of study participants was 64 to 69 years old. Of these 8 studies, clinical outcomes were defined as hospitalization in four studies, severity in six studies, and mortality in seven studies (Table 1). However, there was nonuniformity in the criterion of the time interval from last dose to COVID-19 diagnosis (13-19) (Table 1). Results of the quality assessment of the included studies assessed by NOS scores are presented in Table 1.
3.3 ICI use and risk of hospitalization in COVID-19 patients
We combined 4 studies (13, 15, 17, 18) reporting the hospitalization of COVID-19 infection in patients on ICI treatment, and the pooled estimate of the rate of hospitalization was 0.67 (95% CI 0.54-0.77), and no heterogeneity was observed among these studies (I2 = 0%, p =0.75; Figure 2). Three (13, 15, 17) of the 4 studies contained hospitalization information of patients without ICI exposure. The proportion of hospitalization was markedly increased in patients treated with ICI therapy compared to those without ICI treatment (OR 2.60 [95% CI 1.45-4.68], p=0.001; I2=0%; Figure 3). Publication bias was not evaluated due to the small number of included studies.
3.4 ICI use and influence on COVID-19 severity
Six studies (5, 13, 15, 17-19) that included 79 COVID-19 cases with ICI exposure reported on COVID-19 severity in relation to ICI exposure. The combined proportion of severe disease was 0.4 (95% CI 0.30-0.51, I2=0%; Figure 2). Out of these 6 studies, four studies (5, 13, 15, 17) included 64 COVID-19 cases with ICI exposure and 650 COVID-19 cases unexposed to ICI. The pooled OR of COVID-19 severity was 1.98 (95% CI, 1.14-3.43, p=0.02; Figure 3). Moderate heterogeneity was observed among the studies (I2 = 35%; p= 0.20). Publication bias was not evaluated due to the small number of included studies.
3.5 ICI use and risk of mortality in COVID-19 patients
The overall analysis included 7 studies (5, 13-16, 18, 19). Together, 148 COVID-19 cases with ICI exposure and 1850 COVID-19 cases without ICI exposure were included. The pooled proportion of mortality in COVID-19 patients with ICI exposure was 0.26 (95% CI, 0.20-0.34; I2=0%; Figure 2). Next, the risk associated with ICI use and mortality was assessed. Overall, the OR of mortality in ICI-exposed cases was similar to non-ICI exposed COVID-19 patients (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.60-1.34, p= 0.60; Figure 3). Moderate heterogeneity was observed among the studies (I2 =49%; p= 0.10). Publication bias was not observed by funnel plot (Figure S1) or Egger test (p=0.14) for mortality.
We further examined the mortality between exposure to ICI and other treatments in cancer patients in the context of COVID-19. However, we did not identify significant differences between ICI and chemotherapy (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.67-1.67, p= 0.80; I2= 3%; Figure 4A), hormone therapy (OR 1.26, 95% CI 0.44-3.59, p= 0.67; I2= 59%; Figure 4B), radiotherapy (OR 1.44, 95% CI 0.67-3.07, p= 0.35; I2= 46%; Figure 4C), surgery (OR 1.21, 95% CI 0.50-2.98, p= 0.67; I2= 0%; Figure 4D), or targeted therapy (OR 1.53, 95% CI 0.89-2.63, p= 0.13; I2= 0%; Figure 4E).
3.6 Temporal relationship between prior ICI receipt and diagnosis of COVID-19
Given that the receptor can be occupied for months (30) and the initial start of ICI therapy results in a distinct proliferative burst (31-34), different intervals from the last dose of ICI to the diagnosis of COVID-19 may theoretically influence the prognosis of COVID-19 infection. Luo et al (15) defined five categories of prior PD-1 blockade, including no prior PD-1, ever received PD-1 blockade, last receipt within 6 months, last receipt within 6 weeks, and first receipt within 3 months, detecting the outcomes of interest. Overall, there was no significant difference in prognosis regardless of PD-1 blockade exposure. We extracted data from this study and regrouped patients according to intervals from last dose of ICI to the diagnosis of COVID-19: no prior PD-1, interval > 6 months, interval between 6 months and 6 weeks, interval < 6 weeks and initial dose within 3 months (Figure 5). However, we did not capture any statistically significant differences between no prior PD-1 group and the other four groups tested by Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test in terms of prognosis, including hospitalization, severe disease and mortality (Figure 5). Consistent with the above outcomes, Wu et al (19) observed a similar risk of severity in different intervals from the last ICI administration to COVID-19 diagnosis (interval ≥ 28 days vs. interval < 28 days, p=1.00).
3.7 ICI-induced lung injury and COVID-19 infection
ICI-induced pneumonitis presents similar clinical and radiological features to COVID-19, challenging the early diagnosis of COVID-19 (20). Guerini et al (23) and Lovly et al (24) reported two cases that experienced misdiagnosis caused by ICI-induced pneumonitis who died due to uncontrolled COVID-19 infection. Clinicians should always consider COVID-19 as a differential diagnosis, as few places were spared during the pandemic. In another report (35), 2 patients were initially highly suspected of COVID-19 infection based on clinical manifestations, imaging findings, and epidemiology. Steroids were withheld in one of them, and the disease became worse until a third CT scan was obtained and a second negative RT-PCR test was released after admission. Both patients were eventually diagnosed with ICI-induced pneumonitis, and a mean delay of 3 days in steroid initiation was attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Except for missed window of optimal treatment caused by delayed diagnosis, ICI-induced pneumonitis itself reduces patient resistance and exacerbates COVID-19 infection. Here, we were curious about the influence of ICI in lung cancer patients infected with COVID-19. Data showed that ICI application did not significantly influence the severity of COVID-19 in lung cancer patients (ICI application [7/12] vs. no ICI application [8/23], p= 0.181) (17). Consistently, ICI exposure in lung cancer patients did not exhibit a higher risk for developing severity than in patients with other solid cancers (lung cancer [7/12] vs. other solid cancers [5/19], p=0.13) (17).