Change in epidemiological pattern
Our study represents an extensive observational registry of consecutive patients treated for ASIP during the most challenging period of the COVID-19 pandemic in a severely affected area. It demonstrated delayed presentation and increased rate of severity for diverticulitis and appendicitis cases. Patients with diverticulitis underwent surgical treatment more frequently during the pandemic than a year ago, probably in the context of a higher proportion of severe cases. Moreover, COVID-19 positive patients did not experience an increased risk of adverse events whether they were treated conservatively or not. This result should be interpreted with caution due to the limited number of COVID-19 positive patients included in this study. However, recently published studies have found evidence that points in this same direction [10,11].
According to a serological study about immunity against COVID developed by the Spanish Government, 11.4% of Madrid population have immunoglobulins against COVID [12], which could represent over 600.000 cases. The effect of COVID pandemic on emergency surgery has been a subject of analysis in several studies [13-16]. The results of the PIACO study are consistent with other studies in the current literature. The significant decrease in ASIP admission to during COVID-19 pandemic was also demonstrated in a matched case-control study of appendicitis [17]. Our data also reflect that the most dramatic drop in admissions occurred during the peak of the pandemic and tends to normalize with the decrease in the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. Whilst the number of admissions was reduced the complexity and severity of cases during the pandemic was similar to the previous year. This study has some limitations. It only included patients who required admission in a hospital setting. Information about outpatients is not available, which could represent a selection bias, however, this study provides a useful insight on the presentation patterns of ASIP pathology at hospitals covering approximately the 70% of the population of the Community of Madrid. These reduction in mild cases without a raise in severe cases suggest that outpatient treatment could be useful in some cases.
The generalisability of the results of this study is further enhanced by the inclusion of both public and private hospitals. Moreover, during the study period, primary care emergencies and elective services remained closed and the healthcare professionals were redeployed to other facilities caring for COVID patients (e.g. Hospital created in the Madrid Fair). In this setting, all the emergencies were treated in the hospitals. Surgeons were redeployed in emergency services in the hospitals looking after surgical emergencies. Therefore, the number of patients with ASIP diagnosis that were treated in community-based facilities (and hence not included in this study) is minimal.
Moreover, although the overall sample size is adequate, the number of COVID-19 positive patients included in this study is limited therefore any outcomes related to this group of patients should be interpreted with caution.
The exact reason for the drop-in admission numbers is unknown and it is an interesting field of research. Perhaps the most plausible theory, is that low complexity cases were treated as outpatients, self-medicated or even cured without any treatment. This could be especially relevant in mild diverticulitis cases, which display the higher case reduction (60%), and appendicitis. Outpatient treatment of mild diverticulitis in low-risk patients was already a routine practice in most of the participant hospitals and recent guidelines recommend that antibiotics for uncomplicated diverticulitis, are not necessary [18]. However, current data supports that this concept could be translated to non-complicated appendicitis and is an interesting field for future research.
The decline in surgical admission numbers can also be explained by self-medication with over the counter medication. It has been proven that lockdown helped to stop the expansion of the coronavirus [19] and Spanish population suffered one of the hardest confinements imposed by the Spanish government. As the message sent to the population was to avoid leaving their houses except for essential activities, it is possible that patients with mild symptoms tried not to seek medical attention. This behavioural modification combined with the fear of getting exposed to COVID-19 at the hospital could also contribute to the reduction of ASIP admissions. The results of the study suggest that all ASIP but diverticulitis have an increased evolution time. This would explain why despite late presentation of patients the severity of ASIP cases (with the exception of diverticulitis) during the pandemic was similar to last year. However, due to the paucity of evidence on how ASIP cases progress without any medical attention, it is difficult to prove a causative relationship between the prolonged natural history of a disease and the lack of a higher number of severe presentations in our cohort. Other factors may also have contributed to the observed reduction in cases. There is some evidence that air pollution could be related to inflammatory gastrointestinal pathologies. This association has a plausible explanation relating inhaled pollutants being ingested after mucociliary clearance. Pollutants can then affect intestinal epithelium and microbiota altering lipid metabolism and particularly intestinal redox lipids, which are associated with intestinal and systemic inflammation [20]. At an epidemiological level, this relation has been observed especially regarding acute appendicitis, in which a seasonal pattern has been identified [21], and some studies relate this seasonality to the level of air pollution [22-25]. COVID-19 pandemic caused a series of lockdown measures on most of the countries it affected that led into a great reduction in personal mobility, goods shipping and industry production. Along with the reduction in transportation, there has been an air pollution reduction observed in Spain [26].
COVID-19 infections clearly play a role in the host immune response mainly through modifying cytokine production resulting in pulmonary tissue damage and the immune insufficiency that may increase viral replication [27]. Coronavirus also produces lymphopenia in 82,1% of the hosts [28]. These coronavirus-host interactions may also have influenced the response to acute inflammatory surgical diseases mitigating the immunological response and thus prolonging or stopping the natural history of ASIP cases.
Changes in clinical practice
It is not possible to reduce emergency surgery without altering the quality of care provided to surgical patients [29]. The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted our practice [3] in favour of more conservative attitudes [2]. This was shown in this study as well. Conservative treatment was safe and did not increase the overall morbidity. However, this conservative approach impeded the patients to benefit from the advantages of laparoscopic appendicectomy and early cholecystectomy in acute cholecystitis.
During the COVID-19 crisis postponement of elective procedures was supported by esteemed surgical societies [31-33]. Delay is not usually an option with emergency cases; the dilemma is between surgical or conservative treatment. In these situations, we have seen a change to a more conservative approach, aiming to spare patients the adverse events after surgery which were reported at the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is more prominent in the treatment of cholecystitis, whereby we found a complete inversion in the percentages of surgical versus conservative treatment, which was not associated with a variance in patient characteristics. As a result of selection of conservative treatment, the length of stay of these patients has also risen significantly. Moreover, fewer procedures were performed laparoscopically, which may also have contributed to the prolonged length of stay. This phenomenon can be attributed to concerns about a higher risk of transmissions due to aerosolization. However, more recent literature does not support a higher risk of transmission with smoke [34] and some authors publish that laparoscopy may be safer [35].