- Demographic and epidemiological characteristics of patients.
A total of 152 patients were included in this study, of whom 114 were PCR confirmed, 17 were serology confirmed, and 21 were clinically diagnosed (Flowchart in Figure 1). Nearly a quarter of them had exposure to known COVID-19 patients (21.1%), and clustered cases were also common (28.9%). The median value of nucleic acid test frequency of PCR and serology confirmed cases was five times, with the highest frequency being nine times for serology confirmed cases. The initial PCR test could pick out 92.1% of PCR confirmed cases, and more than three PCR tests did not find more PCR confirmed patients.
The time from the onset of disease to the first PCR test or admission was similar among the groups, suggesting that there was no delay of PCR tests or therapy for these patients. No differences in gender distribution or body mass index (BMI) were found among the three groups, but serology confirmed patients were older and a longer time was needed to confirm the diagnosis (Table 1). The latter finding was possibly due to later application of the serological assay. In addition, the time from the onset of disease to the first negative PCR results was longer for PCR-confirmed patients than for serology-confirmed patients (24.3±9.1 vs. 12.2±8.4, P =0.000), suggesting that negative results of the latter patients were not due to delay of tests.
In terms of past history, serology-confirmed patients had a higher prevalence of hypertension (34.2 vs. 64.7%, P=0.021) compared with PCR-confirmed patients, but age was correlated with the occurrence of hypertension (r=0.318, P=0.000), and this difference disappeared if the effect of age was balanced via logistic regression, suggesting that the difference in hypertension prevalence could be explained by different age distributions. More details about demographic and epidemiological characteristics can be seen in Table 1.
- Serology confirmed COVID-19 patients with persistent negative PCR test results had different clinical, imaging and laboratory characteristics.
Similar to previous reports [18, 19], the most common symptoms of confirmed COVID-19 patients were fever, cough, and fatigue in our study. In addition, anorexia and chest tightness could exist in more than half of COVID-19 patients. In contrast, nasal symptoms, including sneezing and nasal discharge, were rare in these patients (Table 2).
On the other hand, although the proportion of patients with dyspnea or chest pain was similar between PCR and serology-confirmed cases (53.5 vs. 64.7%, P=0.390), patients with both dyspnea and chest pain were more common in serology-confirmed patients (13.2 vs. 41.2%, P=0.007). Additionally, symptoms of the upper digestive tract, including nausea and vomiting, were more common in serology-confirmed patients (19.3 vs. 41.2 vs. 4.8%, P=0.020). In addition, nausea was highly correlated with diarrhea symptoms in serology-confirmed cases (r=0.701, P=0.005), but in PCR-confirmed (r=0.360, P=0.000) or clinically diagnosed patients (r=-0.122, P=0.620), this kind of correlation was weak or absent. Moreover, more severe or critical patients were found in serology-confirmed patients (35.1 vs. 64.7 vs. 23.8%, P=0.026). Since older age is a critical risk factor for severe disease 20, the correlation of age and severity was explored, and we found that age was correlated with the severity of COVID-19 (r=0.192, P=0.018). Moreover, serology-confirmed patients were no longer more severe than PCR-confirmed patients if the effect of age was balanced via logistic regression analysis (OR 2.57, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89-7.41, P=0.081).
In terms of imaging characteristics, the most frequent presentation was bilateral involved ground glass opacity (90.8%, 88.2% and 77.8% of PCR confirmed, serology confirmed, and clinically diagnosed patients, respectively), and imaging presentations of different groups were similar, except for proportion of pleural effusion, which was lower in PCR confirmed patients (1.9 vs. 12.5 vs. 11.1%, P=0.030, Table 2).
Regarding laboratory indicators, serology-confirmed patients also had different features. As shown in Table 3, serology confirmed patients had higher levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), total bilirubin (TB), D-dimer, fibrinogen (Fg), troponin, interleukin-6 (IL-6) and IL-8, as well as lower levels of hemoglobin (Hb) and serum albumin (Alb).
- Serology confirmed COVID-19 patients were more likely to have disease progression.
Although serology-confirmed or clinically diagnosed patients had similar mortality to PCR-confirmed patients, the proportion of disease progression was significantly higher in serology-confirmed cases (3.5 vs. 17.6 vs. 10.0%, P=0.041, Table 2). Moreover, the time of hospital stay (22.4±11.1 vs. 28.8±10.6 vs. 13.0±7.8, P=0.000) and from admission to cessation of oxygen support (17.0±13.9 vs. 28.9±9.9 vs. 12.0±8.3, P=0.000) were also longer for serology-confirmed patients. With regard to imaging presentation, serology-confirmed patients were less likely to have obvious improvement (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.072-0.98, P=0.047).
Since old age was found to be associated with disease progression [21] and serology-confirmed patients were older, logistic regression was conducted to exclude the effect of age on disease progression. However, serology-confirmed cases were still likely to have disease progression even excluding the effect of age (OR 5.7, 95% CI 1.1-30.2, P=0.041), indicating that there were other possible factors contributing to the disease progression of serology-confirmed patients. To identify these underlying influencing factors, laboratory indicators such as CRP, NLR, Hb, TB, Alb, D-dimer, Fg, troponin, IL-6, and IL-8 were successively included in the logistic regression model. Only the levels of D-dimer (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.04-1.46, P=0.016) and IL-6 (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.09, P=0.016) were associated with disease progression, and the effect of serology-confirmed cases on disease progression disappeared when they were included in the model, suggesting that more severe hypercoagulation and cytokine reaction were possibly the underlying factors contributing to the disease progression of serology-confirmed patients.