Study design:
This was a multicenter retrospective study which took place in two French hospitals located in Paris area: Hôpital Avicenne, Assistance Publique Hopitaux de Paris and Hôpital de Rambouillet. All adult patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19 according to WHO interim guidance were screened[15], and those with a diagnosis of ARF admitted to the ICUs between March 11, 2020 (ie, when the first patients were admitted), and May 3, 2020, were included. We did not include patients who were admitted with a decision to withdraw life-sustaining therapy, including do-not-intubate orders, patients who received non-invasive ventilation, and patients who were intubated before ICU admission.
The study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Hôpital Avicenne.
We followed the statement guidelines of Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) for observational cohort studies[16].
Oxygenation strategy
All adult patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in participating ICUs required oxygen therapy. Standard-oxygen therapy was applied through a non-rebreather face mask at a flow rate of 6 l/min or more. The oxygen flow rate was adjusted to maintain an oxygen saturation level of more than 92%.
When HFNO was used, oxygen was passed through a heated humidifier (MR850 and AIRVO 2, Fisher and Paykel Healthcare) and applied continuously through large-bore binasal prongs, with a gas flow rate of 60 liters per minute and a fraction inspired of oxygen (FiO2) of 1.0 at initiation. The FiO2 in the gas flowing in the system was adjusted to maintain an oxygen saturation level of more than 92%. All patients receiving HFNO wore a surgical mask to prevent SARS-Cov-2 transmission.
Before March 27, due to the hypothetic risk of transmission of SARS-Cov-2 to healthcare workers, the use of HFNO was scarce and the flow rate was limited to 30 liters per minute according to the French intensive care society guidelines. After March 27, 2020, in the light of a low risk of transmission by bio-aerosolization with HFNO in the literature, we decided to not restrict the use of HFNO and to allow a high flow rate (60L/min).
Throughout the study period, the decision to intubate was based on clinical characteristics (respiratory rate, worsening of respiratory status, high respiratory-muscle workload) and biological characteristics (arterial partial pressure of oxygen). Worsening respiratory failure was defined by at least two of the following criteria: a respiratory rate of more than 40 breaths per minute; a lack of improvement in signs of high respiratory-muscle workload; the development of copious tracheal secretions; respiratory acidosis with a pH of less than 7.35; and an Spo2 of less than 90% for more than 5 minutes without technical dysfunction.
Data Collection:
Epidemiological, demographic, clinical, laboratory, treatment, and outcome data were extracted from electronic medical records using a standardized data collection form. Laboratory confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 infection was performed by the local health authority.
The data recorded were the following:
Epidemiological data: age, sex, body mass index (BMI), chronic medical histories (chronic cardiac disease, chronic pulmonary disease, diabetes, malignancy),
Clinical, biological and radiological characteristics at ICU admission: SAPS II, heart rate, arterial blood pressure, respiratory rate, oxygen flow, time from onset of symptoms to ICU admission, blood count, coagulation profile, serum biochemical tests (including renal and liver function, creatine kinase, lactate dehydrogenase, and electrolytes), myocardial enzymes, interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-reactive protein (CRP), serum ferritin, procalcitonin, arterial blood gas analysis, lactate concentration, chest CT scan.
Therapy in ICU: need for invasive mechanical ventilation, need for catecholamine infusion, antiviral agents, immunomodulator therapy.
Outcomes
The primary outcome was the proportion of patients who required endotracheal intubation after ICU admission.
The secondary outcomes were death 28 days and 60 days after ICU admission, the mean length of stay in ICU, the number of ventilator-free days at day 28, the number of patients with ventilator-free days > 14 days. For ventilator-free days, one point was given for each calendar day during the measurement period (i.e. from the first day of admission in ICU to day 28) that a patient was both alive and free of invasive mechanical ventilation, and zero value was given for patients who died before day 28.
We also assessed the number of health care worker contaminations during 2 periods: before March 27, when the use of HFNO was restricted because of the hypothetical risk of aerosol contamination and after March 27, when the use of HFNO was not restricted.
Statistical analysis
Categorical variables are expressed as number with percentage (%) and continuous variables as mean with standard deviation (SD), or median with interquartile range (IQR). Initial characteristics of the HFNO group and the standard-oxygen therapy group were compared using a Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test for the categorical data, and a t-test or Wilcoxon signed-rank test for continuous data.
The effect of HFNO was assessed using a propensity score analysis to balance the differences in baseline variables between the two groups. The probability for receiving HFNO was calculated by a non-parsimonious logistic regression. Covariates included in this model were selected before analysis: sex, age, BMI, time from onset of symptoms to ICU admission, hypertension, diabetes, and parameters measured at ICU admission: SAPS II, oxygen flow, PaO2, respiratory rate, CRP and chest CT scan severity. Chest CT scan severity was defined by a quantitative evaluation of the abnormal manifestation of chest CT imaging. The abnormal imaging signs included ground glass opacity and consolidation quantified by radiologist. The radiologist estimated the lesion areas on each lung lobe as a percentage of the whole lung lobe[17].
HFNO effect on intubation at 28 days and mortality in ICU at 28 and 60 days were performed with weighted logistic regression using the stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)[18]. Regarding intubation, there was no competitive risk (no death without intubation at 28 days). Length of ICU stay among patients discharged was compared between oxygenation groups with a weighted log-linear model using the IPTW. The number of ventilation-free days at day 28 was compared using Mann–Whitney U test. Because a non-normal distribution of patients in our sample, we could not perform a weighted logistic regression for this last parameter. To address this shortfall, the number of ventilation-free days was dichotomized at 14 days,and analyzed using weighted logistic regression. Two sensitivity analyses were performed for primary outcome: a truncated IPTW excluding patients with an extreme IPTW (5th-95th percentile) and an analysis excluding patients on HFNO with O2 flow < 50L/min.
To account for missing data, analyses were conducted using multiple imputations by chained equations with 5 imputations obtained after 5 iterations[19]. The propensity scores came from 10 independent complete data sets and were averaged according to an “across approach” [20]. Covariate balances before and after weighting were assessed by standardized mean differences which came from a complete imputed data set[21].
We also sought to determine predictive factors for intubation for patients on HFNO with univariate logistic regressions.
All tests were two-tailed, and the results were considered statistically significant when p< 0.05. Analyses were performed using R statistical software version 3.5.2 (R foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).