Sample characteristics
Baseline characteristics for obesity- and bedtime-related measures were similar between children lost to follow-up at 11 and 14 years. However, those lost to follow-up were more likely to boys, black, slightly older, have parents with low/no academic or vocational qualification, and from a low SES family (Supplementary Table 1). The prevalence of overweight among the non‒obese 7-year-olds was approximately 15%. Of the sample followed at 11 and 14 years, 59.5% and 59.3% had always regular bedtime schedule whiles 3.8% and 3.6% had never regular bedtime schedules, respectively. Weighted mean bedtime was 8:00 PM (95% CI, 7:58–8:01) and about two-thirds of children went to bed by 8:00 PM. There was no sex-difference in the distribution of regularity of bedtime schedules nor bedtimes. On average, children whose bedtimes were usually and sometimes regular had 10.8 minutes (95% CI, 9.0–12.7) and 27.3 minutes (95% CI, 23.6–31.2) later bedtimes than those who had always regular bedtime schedules, respectively.
Whiles the incidence of obesity in the entire cohort at 11 and 14 years was 2.9% and 4.9% respectively, the incidence was highest (7.8% and 11.0%, respectively) among the children who had never regular bedtime schedule at 7 years (Figure 2). Likewise, obesity incidence at both adolescent years was lowest for those whose childhood bedtime was before/at 7:30 PM and highest for those who went to bed after 9:00 PM (2.2% v 5.1%; and 3.5% v 10.0%, Supplementary Table 2). Also, Mean BFP was lowest children who went to bed by 7:30 PM, 20.6% at both 11 and 14 years, whiles those who went to bed after 9:00 PM, recorded the highest mean BFP at adolescence, 23.5% and 23.4%, respectively (Table 1). There were no sex-differences in obesity incidence at both 11 and 14 years, however, on average, girls had 4.6% (95% CI, 4.3–4.9) and 10.4% (95%CI, 10.0–10.8) more PBF than boys, respectively.
Table 1
Weighted mean body fat percentage (95% CI) at 11 and 14 years by term-time bedtimes and bedtime schedules at 7 years
| MCS5 (11 years) | MCS6 (14 years) | |
| All | Boys | Girls | All | Boys | Girls |
All non-obese 7-year-olds | 21.4 (21.2; 21.6) | 19.2 (19.0; 19.4) | 23.8 (23.6; 24.0) | 21.1 (20.9; 21.3) | 16.1 (15.8; 16.4) | 26.6 (26.3; 26.8) |
Regularity of bedtime | | | | | | |
Always regular | 21.3 (21.1; 21.5) | 19.1 (18.8; 19.3) | 23.7 (23.4; 24.0) | 21.0 (20.6; 21.3) | 16.1 (15.7; 16.5) | 26.5 (26.2; 26.9) |
Usually regular | 21.4 (21.1; 21.7) | 19.1 (18.8; 19.5) | 23.7 (23.3; 24.1) | 21.1 (20.7; 21.4) | 16.0 (15.5; 16.5) | 26.4 (26.0; 26.8) |
Sometimes regular | 22.2 (21.5; 22.9) | 20.3 (19.3; 21.3) | 24.2 (23.3; 25.2) | 21.8 (20.8; 22.8) | 16.5 (15.5; 17.8) | 27.7 (26.7; 28.7) |
Never regular | 22.6 (21.8; 23.5) | 20.6 (19.3; 21.8) | 24.5 (23.5; 25.6) | 22.6 (21.3; 23.9) | 17.6 (15.8; 19.3) | 27.3 (25.9; 28.8) |
Bedtimes | | | | | | |
7:30 PM or earlier | 20.6 (20.3; 20.9) | 18.2 (17.8; 18.6) | 23.0 (22.6; 23.4) | 20.6 (20.1; 21.0) | 15.4 (15.0; 15.9) | 25.9 (25.4; 28.4) |
7:31 PM – 8:00 PM | 21.3 (21.0; 21.6) | 19.0 (18.7; 19.4) | 23.8 (23.4; 24.2) | 20.9 (20.5; 21.2) | 16.0 (15.5; 16.4) | 26.5 (26.2; 26.9) |
8:01 PM – 8:30 PM | 21.9 (21.5; 22.3) | 19.8 (19.3; 20.3) | 24.2 (23.7; 24.7) | 21.2 (20.6; 21.8) | 16.0 (15.4; 16.6) | 27.1 (26.5; 27.7) |
8:31 PM – 9:00 PM | 22.8 (22.3; 23.3) | 20.9 (20.3; 21.6) | 24.8 (24.2; 25.5) | 22.5 (21.8; 23.2) | 17.9 (16.9; 18.9) | 27.6 (26.8; 28.3) |
After 9:00 PM | 23.5 (22.5; 24.5) | 21.6 (20.0; 23.1) | 25.4 (23.9; 26.8) | 23.4 (22.0; 24.7) | 18.5 (16.7; 20.4) | 28.0 (26.4; 29.6) |
Obesity risk by bedtime and bedtime regularity
Compared to children who had always regular bedtimes, the risk of obesity at 11 years was by two- and three-folds higher among those whose bedtimes were sometime regular and never regular, respectively (Table 2). The risk of obesity at 14 years remained higher among those with never regular bedtimes at 7 years compared with those with always regular bedtimes (RR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.5– 3.6). There was a significant linear gradient of increasing obesity risk at both 11 and 14 years with increasing irregularity of bedtimes at 7 years even after adjusting for confounders and baseline overweight status (ptrend < 0.001 and ptrend = 0.002, respectively). After adjusting for several covariates and including both bedtime regularity and bedtimes in sensitivity analyses (Model IV), the trend in increasing obesity risk with increasing bedtime regularity persisted at 11 years (ptrend = 0.008), but not at 14 years. For those not in the never regular category, bedtimes after 8:30 PM were consistently associated with higher risk of obesity at 11 and 14 years. Hourly delay in bedtimes at 7 years was however associated with 50% higher risk of obesity across both adolescent years, although attenuated to 20% in sensitivity analyses (Model IV in Table 2).
Table 2
Risk ratios (95% CI) of obesity at age 11 and 14 years by bedtime regularity and bedtimes at 7 years
| Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV |
Obesity at 11 years | | | | |
Regularity of bedtime | | | | |
Always regular (Reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Usually regular | 1.2 (0.9 to 1.7) | 1.2 (0.9 to 1.6) | 1.2 (0.9 to 1.6) | 1.2 (0.9 to 1.7) |
Sometimes regular | 2.1 (1.4 to 3.3) | 2.0 (1.3 to 3.0) | 1.9 (1.2 to 2.8) | 1.9 (1.2 to 2.8) |
Never regular | 2.8 (1.8 to 4.4) | 2.9 (2.0 to 4.2) | ― | ― |
Ptrend | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.013 | 0.008 |
Bedtimes (continuous)a | 1.5 (1.2 to 1.8) | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.5) | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.4) | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.4) |
7:30 PM or earlier (Reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | ― | ― |
7:31 PM – 8:00 PM | 1.1 (0.8 to 1.6) | 1.0 (0.7 to 1.4) | ― | ― |
8:01 PM – 8:30 PM | 1.5 (1.0 to 2.2) | 1.2 (0.8 to 1.7) | ― | ― |
8:31 PM – 9:00 PM | 1.9 (1.2 to 3.7) | 1.4 (0.9 to 2.0) | ― | ― |
After 9:00 PM | 2.4 (1.1 to 5.0) | 1.6 (0.8 to 3.1) | ― | ― |
Obesity at 14 years | | | | |
Regularity of bedtime | | | | |
Always regular (Reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Usually regular | 1.0 (0.7 to 1.3) | 1.0 (0.7 to 1.2) | 0.9 (0.7 to 1.2) | 0.9 (0.7 to 1.2) |
Sometimes regular | 1.5 (1.0 to 2.3) | 1.3 (0.9 to 1.9) | 1.2 (0.8 to 1.8) | 1.2 (0.8 to 1.7) |
Never regular | 2.3 (1.5 to 3.6) | 2.3 (1.5 to 3.4) | ― | ― |
Ptrend | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.760 | 0.900 |
Bedtimes (continuous)a | 1.5 (1.2 to 1.8) | 1.3 (1.1 to 1.5) | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.5) | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.5) |
7:30 PM or earlier (Reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | ― | ― |
7:31 PM – 8:00 PM | 1.4 (1.0 to 1.8) | 1.1 (0.9 to 1.5) | ― | ― |
8:01 PM – 8:30 PM | 1.5 (1.0 to 2.1) | 1.2 (0.8 to 1.7) | ― | ― |
8:31 PM – 9:00 PM | 2.0 (1.3 to 3.0) | 1.5 (1.0 to 2.1) | ― | ― |
After 9:00 PM | 2.6 (1.3 to 5.0) | 2.0 (1.2 to 3.3) | ― | ― |
aRepresents RR (95% CI) of obesity per hour delay of bedtime |
Model I – Adjusts for sex and age, ethnicity, parental SES, parental education, and number of people in household; Model II – Model I further adjusted for overweight status at 7 years; Model III – Model includes both bedtime regularity (categorical) and bedtime (continuous) and adjusts for the same covariates as in Model II; Model IV – Model III further adjusted for TV hours on weekdays, computer hours on weekdays, frequency of physical activity, frequency of bedwetting. |
BFP by bedtime and bedtime regularity
Mean differences in BFP, for all adolescents, between each of the bedtime regularity categories and the always regular category were generally not statistically significant except for those with never regular bedtimes who had 0.9% higher body fat (95% CI, 0.0–2.2) at 11 years (Figure 3). Mean BFP for any irregular bedtime category was not significantly different from mean BFP for always regular category for both sexes after stratification and adjustment for menarche status for girls (Table 3). However, BFP at 11 years increased by 1.1% (95% CI, 0.8–1.5) and 1.0% (95%CI, 0.6–1.4) at for every hour delay in bedtime at 7 years for boys and girls, respectively. This linear increase persisted, albeit attenuated to 0.8%, at 14 years across both sexes. The marginal increase in BFP by late bedtimes was more evident in early adolescence when childhood bedtimes 7:31–8:00 PM was associated with significant higher BFP at 11 years (MD, 0.6%; 95% CI, 0.1–1.1) and 0.8%; 95% CI, 0.2–1.4, for boys and girls, respectively) compared to bedtimes before/at 7:30 PM. The dose–response association between later bedtimes in childhood and higher BFP in adolescence persisted even after adjusting for bedtime regularity and several covariates including baseline BFP in sensitivity analyses (Models IVA & IVB in Table 3).
Table 3
Associations between bedtime regularity and bedtimes at 7 years and obesity and BFP at 11 and 14 years among girls
| Boys | Girls |
| Model IA | Model IVA | Model IB | Model IVB |
BFP at 11 years |
Regularity of bedtime | | | | |
Always regular (Reference) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Usually regular | 0.0 (-0.4 to 0.5) | 0.0 (-0.3 to 0.4) | 0.1 (-0.4 to 0.5) | 0.1 (-0.2 to 0.5) |
Sometimes regular | 1.0 (0.0 to 2.1) | 0.1 (-0.8 to 0.9) | 0.4 (-0.7 to 1.4) | 0.1 (-0.7 to 0.8) |
Never regular | 1.1 (-0.3 to 2.5) | ― | 0.9 (-0.4 to 2.1) | ― |
Ptrend | 0.040 | 0.826 | 0.184 | 0.550 |
Bedtimes (continuous)a | 1.1 (0.8 to 1.5) | 0.8 (0.5 to 1.1) | 1.0 (0.6 to 1.4) | 0.2 (0.0 to 0.5) |
7:30 PM or earlier (Reference) | 0.0 | ― | 0.0 | ― |
7:31 PM – 8:00 PM | 0.6 (0.1 to 1.1) | ― | 0.8 (0.2 to 1.4) | ― |
8:01 PM – 8:30 PM | 1.2 (0.6 to 1.8) | ― | 1.0 (0.3 to 1.7) | ― |
8:31 PM – 9:00 PM | 1.9 (1.1 to 4.6) | ― | 1.6 (0.7 to 2.5) | ― |
After 9:00 PM | 2.5 (0.6 to 8.8) | ― | 2.4 (0.6 to 4.2) | ― |
BFP at 14 years |
Regularity of bedtime | | | | |
Always regular (Reference) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Usually regular | -0.2 (-0.8 to 0.4) | 0.0 (-0.5 to 0.5) | 0.2 (-0.3 to 0.6) | 0.1 (-0.3 to 0.5) |
Sometimes regular | 0.2 (-1.1 to 1.5) | -0.6 (-1.8 to 0.5) | 1.1 (0.0 to 2.1) | 0.5 (-0.3 to 1.4) |
Never regular | 1.1 (-0.9 to 3.1) | ― | 0.3 (-1.2 to 1.9) | ― |
Ptrend | 0.504 | | 0.152 | 0.254 |
Bedtimes (continuous)a | 0.8 (0.3 to 1.3) | 0.6 (0.1 to 1.1) | 0.8 (0.4 to 1.2) | 0.3 (-0.1 to 0.6) |
7:30 PM or earlier (Reference) | 0.0 | ― | 0.0 | ― |
7:31 PM – 8:00 PM | 0.3 (-0.3 to 1.0) | ― | 0.4 (-0.2 to 1.0) | ― |
8:01 PM – 8:30 PM | 0.2 (-0.6 to 1.0) | ― | 0.9 (0.2 to 1.6) | ― |
8:31 PM – 9:00 PM | 1.7 (0.6 to 2.8) | ― | 1.3 (0.5 to 2.2) | ― |
After 9:00 PM | 2.3 (0.1 to 4.6) | ― | 1.9 (-0.1 to 3.8) | ― |
aRepresents regression coefficient (95% CI) of BFP per hour delay of bedtime |
Models IA – Adjusts for age, ethnicity, parental SES, parental education, number of people in household. |
Model IB – Adjusts for both baseline age and menarche status at 11 years or age at menarche at 14 years, ethnicity, parental SES, parental education, and number of people in household |
Model IVA & IVB – Each model includes both bedtime regularity (categorical) and bedtime (continuous) and adjusts for BFP at 7 years, frequency of TV hours on weekdays, computer hours on weekdays, frequency of physical activity, frequency of bedwetting, in addition to confounders adjusted for in Models IA & IB, respectively |